1 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:18,640 Hello and welcome to another summary of our  Leadership in Extraordinary Times series. I'm   2 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:24,400 Professor Andrew Stephen, the Research Dean and  L'oreal Professor of Marketing here at Oxford   3 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:31,920 University's Said Business School. During October,  November and December of 2020, our Leadership in   4 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:38,560 Extraordinary Times broadcast shifted from a  focus on the immediate crisis facing the world,   5 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:46,640 to asking what happens next. Specifically during  the final months of 2020, my colleagues and our   6 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:55,200 guests discussed three key questions: first what  are the permanent changes that we are seeing?   7 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:05,120 second what are the knock-on consequences  intended or otherwise of these changes? and third   8 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:12,560 how do we make sure that we all respond  to all of this in a way that builds   9 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:20,960 forward better? To begin our summary, let's start  with something that's changed in how we all work   10 00:01:20,960 --> 00:01:26,320 and it's something i'd say almost all of us have  become extremely familiar with and that is of   11 00:01:26,320 --> 00:01:34,480 course working from home. Asha Cazazian, Director  of Global Real Estate for the global law firm   12 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:42,320 Sherman and Sterling gave us her take. There  was a notion i think for many industries   13 00:01:42,320 --> 00:01:48,800 around the globe, that if you didn't  show up to work you were not working and   14 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:55,840 many industries i would say more on the financial  services legal services side where i work,   15 00:01:56,560 --> 00:02:00,960 and others on the periphery of those two  industries and the clients that they served   16 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:04,800 had that belief they maintained  that belief and Covid shook that up.   17 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:12,880 Somewhere between 40 and 42 percent  of employees wish to remain to work   18 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:18,080 from home and or some hybrid version where  they're working from home two to three days a week.   19 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:23,600 An interesting perspective on our need to  remote work also came from Ronan Journo,   20 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:28,960 who's the European Head of Operations and Senior  Managing Director at real estate firm Hines.   21 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:35,040 This has had a number of effects, he spoke about  remote work playing a role in leveling corporate   22 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:42,400 hierarchies, so let's hear what he had to say.  It doesn't matter whether you're the CFO, CEO of   23 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:48,000 the company or the most junior graduate you've  all become a square on the screen and you have   24 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:54,720 become you know another voice so the old world  symbols of space have disappeared. The executive   25 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:59,840 floor, the corner office, the additional  assistance outside they've all disappeared   26 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:05,520 and that has a huge cultural impact on  companies and the way we use space and offices.   27 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:11,600 But all of this also raises some really  important practical and financial questions   28 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:18,080 most of which right now we of course can't answer.  My colleague Professor Andrew Baum, a Professor   29 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:22,640 of Management Practice at Oxford Said and the  Director of the Oxford Future of Real Estate   30 00:03:22,640 --> 00:03:29,360 Initiative, talked about some of the possible  consequences from his area of expertise real   31 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:34,560 estate and the impact on offices in for  example central business districts or CBD's.   32 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:41,680 If we are able to uh to move to more homework  will that result in more space being provided   33 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:47,600 in cbd offices per worker, so in other words no  economic benefit because the space that's saved   34 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:53,600 will simply be reallocated to collaboration space,  better quality space or will occupiers actually   35 00:03:53,600 --> 00:04:00,960 reduce their cbd costs. Will they save rent,  business rates, property taxes, utility costs and   36 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:07,120 if they do do that where does that money go? Will  it lead to more profits for Shearman and Sterling,   37 00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:13,680 will it lead to higher salaries for the  staff or would it go into third space cost?   38 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:21,200 As Andrew explored these questions further we can  see how very complicated this change in behavior   39 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:27,680 could really become. For example employees might  go to their employers and say i'm now working   40 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:32,880 from home, you're gonna save costs in the office  i need to have a fourth bedroom, i need to have   41 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:37,520 an office in the garden, i need to have a study,  i'm gonna have to spend more on housing costs, i   42 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:42,480 need more salary or alternatively i'm gonna have  to spend more on commuting because i'm gonna have   43 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:46,720 to go further to get bigger housing that's gonna  give me the suitable space to work from home.   44 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:54,800 Oor maybe the cost of third space provision will  fall on the employee so maybe the employee says   45 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:58,080 look i'm going to choose not to work from home  i'm going to choose to work in a third space   46 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:02,720 and i need to i need that cost to be  subsidized or supplemented in my salary.   47 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:09,600 Now of course there are further implications  too for taxation, for the future of cities, for   48 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:15,360 the ties between employers employees. Panelists  in a discussion on the future of recruitment   49 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:21,040 for instance envisaged those employer  employees ties loosening, more employees   50 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:26,640 would become freelancers with portfolio careers  enabled by open talent platforms such as upwork.   51 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:34,560 This is Paul Estes author of the Gig Mindset, i  continue to believe that not having a gig economy   52 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:41,840 strategy in 2020 is the same as not embracing the  internet 1990 or the mobile revolution in 2010.   53 00:05:41,840 --> 00:05:47,520 We all know the stories about companies who did  not see a structural shift in the way work would   54 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:53,040 get done and then what happened to those companies  and the companies that did embrace that and   55 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:59,760 where they are today and so i believe in in many  ways we're starting to see freelancers and the   56 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:07,040 gig economy in these open platforms structurally  change, many aspects of business. Workers are   57 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:13,360 demanding flexibility, companies are now providing  that flexibility and you're starting to see   58 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:19,760 that shift and so i think more and more people are  going to reach into independent work freelancing   59 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:26,560 as part of a portfolio career to re-skill, and  to keep some sort of stability in their lives.   60 00:06:27,840 --> 00:06:32,320 We can see that there are many advantages for  companies working in this model, they can hire   61 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:37,840 the best talent from anywhere in the world, they  can access niche expertise for as long as they   62 00:06:37,840 --> 00:06:44,960 want it and they can increase diversity but  again there are potential consequences that may   63 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:51,840 not have yet been completely thought through. As  my colleague Dr Greta Corporaal, a Research Fellow   64 00:06:51,840 --> 00:06:58,720 and British Academy Post-Doctoral Fellow here at  Oxford Said, suggested. This new model of works   65 00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:04,400 that are emerging and they offer significant  advantages like freedom and flexibility and   66 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:09,600 autonomy and remote work enabling you to better  integrate your work like with your home life.   67 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:15,840 It also brings challenges, and one one of them  is that it kind of clashes with established   68 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:21,040 norms and expectations in society, for instance  when we think about social benefits or pensions.   69 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:26,000 And i think that is the elephant in  the room in all of these discussions,   70 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:31,200 we've seen what happened at the lower skilled  end of the gig economy, a promise of flexibility   71 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:38,320 and autonomy became in practice precariousness  and low pay. So how can we make sure that the new   72 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:45,680 normal of remote working doesn't become a race  to the bottom on pay, benefits and workers rights?   73 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:53,040 More broadly how can we make sure that we build  forward and build forward better. This is what   74 00:07:53,040 --> 00:08:02,480 Kumi Naidoo, Former Secretary General of Amnesty  International, had to say: After the 2008 and 2009   75 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:09,440 global financial crisis when many were saying  we would never go back to normal, what we saw   76 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:17,440 was an approach by those with power, of system  recovery, system maintenance and system protection.   77 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:25,280 When what was needed then and what was needed  now was system innovation, system redesign   78 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:32,640 and system transformation. If we are to move  forward, we have to be willing to now say   79 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:40,320 that to get out of the moment where we  are is not simply going to be a question   80 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:47,360 of incremental improvements. In terms of changes  however perhaps they have not yet gone far enough,   81 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:53,600 this was the perspective shared by Morgan  Stanley's Alison Binns in discussing the us   82 00:08:53,600 --> 00:09:00,800 business roundtable's commitment in 2019 to all  stakeholders. You don't see companies in the US   83 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:06,240 being comfortable with putting employees on their  boards which i think would be sort of a meaningful   84 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:12,240 indicator that a company really does have a  stakeholder approach because frankly employees   85 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:16,480 are probably the most important stakeholder  group, without which the company does not exist   86 00:09:16,480 --> 00:09:22,480 and we just don't have that acknowledgement  that maybe you have to fundamentally change   87 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:27,600 how you think about a corporation, and i will  say not as a sort of get out of jail free card   88 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:34,400 but our legal system here is not set up to support  stakeholder capitalism. And Bob Eccles, a visiting   89 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:39,760 Professor of Management Practice here at Oxford,  wasn't prepared to let companies off the hook.   90 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:44,880 I gotta tell you you know reading the papers,  it seems to me like i saw a lot more people   91 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:49,040 being laid off than i saw dividends being cut you  know and that's a choice that companies can make.   92 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:53,680 That was a test right, they were tested there  was trade-offs and they made the trade-offs   93 00:09:53,680 --> 00:09:58,480 in favor of keeping the dividends and laying off  employees, putting it on the states saying there's   94 00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:03,600 unemployment insurance and there was no legal  requirement that they have to do that, they could   95 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:09,840 have made the other choice: they could have cut  the dividends and kept the people. But speakers   96 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:16,320 were clear that is not just up to companies, we  all have a part to play in changing the system   97 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:23,920 or systems for the better. I think there's going to  be a big sea change in how people invest, so your   98 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:30,720 own personal investment strategies how are they  moving towards sustainability? And moving in   99 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:36,000 the right direction for mitigating climate change, mitigating inequality etc.   100 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:42,880 I want a simple two to three page stakeholder  inclusive company specific statement of purpose   101 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:46,720 by the board of directors that doesn't  read like it could come from any company.   102 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:51,680 What's unique about that company how they make  trade-offs and to follow up on it with integrated   103 00:10:51,680 --> 00:10:56,080 reporting to explain how they're accomplishing  their purpose, where they're failing, what they   104 00:10:56,080 --> 00:11:03,040 plan to do to get back on target. One  of the stakeholders of stakeholder capitalism   105 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:09,360 is employees, so whatever the side you work in  the corporate side or in the in the investor   106 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:15,360 side, you know just raise your voice saying like  you know that we regard these issues are important   107 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:22,720 and it should be you know internally monitored  and they should be externally disclosed. So   108 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:27,840 as we look back on the year of disruption  uncertainty and sheer difficulty that was 2020   109 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:34,800 and think ahead now that we're in 2021, what's next?  Of course none of us have a crystal ball and under   110 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:42,240 still such uncertain times around the world it's  hard to make reliable predictions but one thing i   111 00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:48,640 think that we do know from last year is that our  organizations, our colleagues, frankly our humanity   112 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:55,840 is adaptable we're oftentimes more resilient than  we give ourselves credit for and when faced with   113 00:11:55,840 --> 00:12:03,360 major constraints adversity and great challenges,  we can and do rise to the occasion. So for all of   114 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:08,800 us optimists and i certainly count myself as one  of them who look forward to a brighter and better   115 00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:15,360 future, the onus is now upon us to make that  happen. Building ford better and stronger is   116 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:21,280 a rallying cry for sure, but we need to think  about the tangible actions that we will take   117 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:28,080 and that we will lead in 2021 and beyond. We heard  a lot in this video about change ways of working   118 00:12:28,080 --> 00:12:32,480 and ways of thinking about business.  Changes are happening and they were   119 00:12:33,360 --> 00:12:38,640 before the pandemic as well although, we've  certainly seen accelerated change due to the   120 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:44,560 pandemic. As my colleagues and their guests  said, we need to think about consequences   121 00:12:44,560 --> 00:12:50,800 intended and unintended of these changes  and also give thought to how we can affect   122 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:58,800 the right kinds of changes as we keep on going.  I'm professor Andrew Stephen thanks for watching   123 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:06,000 and i hope you join us soon for another episode  of Oxford Saids' Leadership in Extraordinary Times.   124 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:12,400 Please follow us on social media or check our  website to keep up to date with our upcoming 125 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:19,840 broadcasts.